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Countryfile / Country Tracks / Landward Forecast Thread


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#1 Jackone

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Posted 20 August 2006 - 15:51

Continue your comments here.
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Much milder this week for the end of the season.

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#2 johnholmes

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 11:26

hi
Another first class presentation by the duty forecaster this morning. Good use of synoptic charts right out to Friday with the rainfall charts for the UK shown for each day.
John

Edited by johnholmes, 27 August 2006 - 11:26 .


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#3 Nick F

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 11:47

Was a good forecast john, yet another new face to me doing the forecast, I'm amazed how many different forecasters there are now - I guess that they need alot more now to cover N24, BBC world, BBCi etc. One used to remember all the forecasters on the BBC as household names, and you could probably count them on two hands.
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Fredericksburg (TX) 01/05/07, Stafford (KS) 05/05/07, Medicine Lodge (KS) 06/05/08, Hooker (OK) 05/05/08, Stuttgart (AR) 10/05/08, Big Spring (TX) 14/05/08, Sielbert (CO) 21/05/08, Hoxie (KS) 22/05/08, Collyer (KS) 22/05/08, Dighton (KS) 23/05/08, Ness City (KS) 23/05/08, Ellis (KS) 23/05/08, Quinter (KS) 23/05/08, Pratt (KS) 26/05/08, Kearney (NE) 29/05/08, Aurora (NE) 29/05/08.

#4 The PIT

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 11:51

Never seen him before. Didn't like the way they cut him off at the end when he was summing up. Just needed any few seconds. Come Beeb pull your finger out.
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#5 Chris Mantle

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 12:06

I understand it's all computer automated these days , so if he runs over with the forecast in his time slot they just chop him off.

Slightly off topic, did anyone take over Helen Youngs postition as I can't see anything on the BBC web site

#6 Nick H

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 12:18

View PostThe PIT, on 27 Aug 2006, 12:51 PM, said:

Never seen him before. Didn't like the way they cut him off at the end when he was summing up. Just needed any few seconds. Come Beeb pull your finger out.

It was his fault: he would have a clock next to the camera showing how many seconds left for the broadcast, he clearly overran. Tomasz Schafenaker, a good presenter.

#7 Hurricane Debby

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 12:32

I missed countryfile this morning - can anyone briefly tell me what they forecast for the week ahead ?
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#8 Nick F

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 12:42

View PostHurricane Debby, on 27 Aug 2006, 01:32 PM, said:

I missed countryfile this morning - can anyone briefly tell me what they forecast for the week ahead ?

Showers in the North and West this afternoon with more general rain sweeping East overnight with an occlusion.

Tomorrow it'll be windy in the East with rain clearing then showers, scattered showers in West.

Tuesday sunny with some showers around mainly dry in East.

Late tuesday into Wednesday a warm front slowly extends NE bringing rain or drizzle to Western/SW'ern areas dry in the East.

Thursday rain spreading across S'ern and Central areas of England and Wales.

Friday sees rain across N'ern areas, drier in the South and fairly warm.

I think this was the gist of it anyway :)
Tornadoes seen to date:


Fredericksburg (TX) 01/05/07, Stafford (KS) 05/05/07, Medicine Lodge (KS) 06/05/08, Hooker (OK) 05/05/08, Stuttgart (AR) 10/05/08, Big Spring (TX) 14/05/08, Sielbert (CO) 21/05/08, Hoxie (KS) 22/05/08, Collyer (KS) 22/05/08, Dighton (KS) 23/05/08, Ness City (KS) 23/05/08, Ellis (KS) 23/05/08, Quinter (KS) 23/05/08, Pratt (KS) 26/05/08, Kearney (NE) 29/05/08, Aurora (NE) 29/05/08.

#9 kippure

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 12:51

Thats was the best country file forecast i,ve seen in ages. A good all round overveiw, didnt like the way he was cut off either, as for his name ... I cant pronounce it, its rather odd :)

Heres his name Tomasz Schafernaker?????? :) :D

He,ll be famous with a name like that :)

Edited by kippure, 27 August 2006 - 12:56 .


#10 Hurricane Debby

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 13:03

View PostNick F, on 27 Aug 2006, 01:42 PM, said:

Showers in the North and West this afternoon with more general rain sweeping East overnight with an occlusion.

Tomorrow it'll be windy in the East with rain clearing then showers, scattered showers in West.

Tuesday sunny with some showers around mainly dry in East.

Late tuesday into Wednesday a warm front slowly extends NE bringing rain or drizzle to Western/SW'ern areas dry in the East.

Thursday rain spreading across S'ern and Central areas of England and Wales.

Friday sees rain across N'ern areas, drier in the South and fairly warm.

I think this was the gist of it anyway :)



Thanks for that Nick F :)
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#11 Bham Chris

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 15:24

It was cruel the way he was cut off,give him time BBC!Not a bad forecast anyway,it was quite clear.Not looking too bad for my neck of the woods though generally unsettled.

#12 i luv snow

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Posted 27 August 2006 - 15:39

he does the weather forecasts alot overnight (i watch wehn i come in drink) and i agree he's very good...abotu time they started using him a bit more on the mainstream forecasts,

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#13 The PIT

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 13:57

What was todays forecast as I was out and missed it.
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#14 senior ridge

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 14:51

Hi TP,
Generally settled and warm
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#15 Andy Bown

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 15:11

View Postsenior ridge, on 3 Sep 2006, 03:51 PM, said:

Hi TP, Generally settled and warm


Apart from in Scotland and Ireland.
11 May = the 1st completely dry day for 25 days!!

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#16 Stuart

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 15:15

View PostAndy Bown, on 3 Sep 2006, 04:11 PM, said:

Apart from in Scotland and Ireland.

but things can change

:) :)



#17 johnholmes

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 17:33

hi
There is an interesting difference showing from 2 model centres for the probable weather for 12z Thursday of this week.
One from the UK Met O and one from GFS.
I will post the charts as I get them copied.
John

here is the UK Met O chart, probably based on 00z run today
uk_m_o_version_thur.JPG

and below is the GFS 12z version from today for the same time on Thursday
2nd_version_gfs_for_thur.JPG

It will be interesting to see what the actual shows on the day!
John
At first glance they seem not dissimilar but the pressure is almost 10mb lower with GFS which gives a lot more wind than the Met O version. Both in similar positions though.
As often is the case, 'the devil is in the fine detail'

Edited by johnholmes, 03 September 2006 - 17:45 .


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#18 johnholmes

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 19:46

one of the reasons I raise this topic is that its about the period of highest tides in a long time around the east coast. IF the GFS version is nearer the truth then it could cause problesm along parts of the east coast.
Obviously the Net Wx forecast team will be watching this possible event.
John

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#19 coldfingers

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Posted 03 September 2006 - 19:55

View Postjohnholmes, on 3 Sep 2006, 08:46 PM, said:

one of the reasons I raise this topic is that its about the period of highest tides in a long time around the east coast. IF the GFS version is nearer the truth then it could cause problesm along parts of the east coast.
Obviously the Net Wx forecast team will be watching this possible event.
John


Yes I noticed there could be a problem on Thur/Fri according to the GFS but hadn't noticed the MetO fax chart so thanks for pointing that out. Lets hope the MetO have it more correct as they usually do in my opinion.



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#20 shuggee

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Posted 17 September 2006 - 12:21

Susan Deacon today - as usual very thorough. Main uncertainty is Thursday with the prediction of a wave developing on the cold front which is predicted to stall across E England down to the Isle of Wight for a while - before pushing east on Friday. 15mm in lowland areas and up to 30mm on high ground.

A whole set piece on the weather and the role of the observatory in Greenwich on the devlopment of the Met Office was included earlier in the programme. Thoroughly enjoyable :blush:
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