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BBC Weather Monthly Outlook...


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#461 Gavin D

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Posted 23 April 2012 - 11:12

see below

Edited by Gavin D, 23 April 2012 - 12:18 .

All my weather stats can now be found here

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Weather stats for 2012 can now be found on one easy to read page

#462 Stuart

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Posted 23 April 2012 - 11:38

that was last week



#463 Gavin D

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Posted 23 April 2012 - 14:16

Monday 23 April Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary

Cloudy, wet, cool

April 2011 was the warmest April across the UK since records began and April 2012 still looks very unlikely to challenge that record. We continue with the unsettled pattern this week, with some particularly cool and wet weather expected at times especially across southern parts. Added to the rain of last week, it's likely that some areas will have seen well over their average April rainfall. The arrival of the new month will not, however, bring a change in the weather. May looks set to carry on much as April ends.

Monday 23 April—Sunday 29 April

As you were

Showers and longer spells of rain is a handy, albeit unimaginative, catch-all summary phrase oft-used by forecasters. There are times though that it does the job perfectly and this week will be one such occasion. The week starts as it means to go on, with rain across the south and sunshine and heavy, thundery showers further north. Parts of the south could get quite a soaking, topping up the already swollen April rainfall totals. It will also be windy and with temperatures under the rainband rather supressed, it will feel rather chilly. In the sunshine between the showers across northern parts, temperatures will fare better, being around average for the time of year.

The wind and rain will linger in the east on Tuesday but elsewhere further showers are again likely. Across Scotland showers will become more persistent through the day and into Wednesday, accompanied by strengthening, cold northeasterly winds. Across the south of the UK on Wednesday, it may seem as though Monday has come again, as another wet and windy low pressure system sweeps in. Little change for Thursday, with rainfall totals rising further accompanied by chilly winds and little sunshine. The sunshine may return to end the week, as may the average temperatures but only between the April showers.

Monday 30 April—Sunday 6 May

April showers bring forth... May showers

Low pressure seems very reluctant to leave as we head into May, although some interludes of more settled weather are likely to be mixed in between the rain and showers. With the heavier spells of rain it is likely to be windy once again, making it feel chilly for the time of year. Overnight frosts are still likely from time to time when the wind becomes light, particularly for inland rural areas.

Monday 7 May—Sunday 20 May

April Part II?

It may seem as if the calendar hadn't told the weather that May arrived! Conditions look likely to remain largely unsettled into the middle of the month with a continuation of those showers or longer spells of rain. Rainfall totals are expected to be close to or just above average, especially across the north of the country. Between the rain or showers there should also be some drier and brighter interludes, these most likely in the south. Temperatures will largely be close to or just below the May average although it will always feel cool in the wind and rain.

Next week

It's what is needed to help areas in drought but is there any sign of an end to the wet weather?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167
All my weather stats can now be found here

http://darlington-weather.webs.com/

Weather stats for 2012 can now be found on one easy to read page

#464 Gavin D

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Posted 30 April 2012 - 11:23

Monthly Outlook

Summary

Contrasting fortunes

A change in the calendar is bringing with it a change in the weather, but only temporarily and not for everyone. Settled weather will favour the northern half of the country for a few days at least, whilst further rain is forecast across the southern half. Through the rest of May it looks set to be cool and breezy generally, with some areas continuing with the trend of above-average rainfall.

Monday 30 April—Sunday 6 May

A north-south split

Low pressure close to the south of the UK and high pressure to the north means that this week is broadly a tale of two halves weather-wise. The southern half of the country will have several bouts of wet and often windy weather, with the rain heavy at times and possibly thundery. This will result in above to well above average rainfall across England and Wales. Temperatures will nevertheless be warmer than of late, even warmer than average for the time of year, so in any brighter interludes it should feel quite pleasant. Across the north of the UK it will be a much drier week, with rainfall about average for the month. Under the influence of east or north-easterly winds there will still be contrasts in the weather from west to east, especially in amounts of sunshine. The best of the sun, and the warmest weather, will be found across western Scotland and Northern Ireland, especially well-sheltered areas. Across eastern Scotland, haar will at times keep the coasts cooler and duller, and fret may also affect parts of northeast England at times too.

Monday 7 May—Sunday 13 May

The north wind doth blow

High pressure looks set to make a shift to the west or northwest of the UK, so with lower pressure to the east this will introduce cool north to northwesterly winds across the country. This usually means unsettled weather, and indeed there is a signal for further showers or longer spells of rain - and hill snow - leading to near or above average rainfall for most parts compared to May averages. Given the predominant wind direction it is also no surprise that temperatures will generally be below average. On a brighter note, with that wind direction western areas should be favoured for the most sunshine. Given this, and some good shelter, parts of south Wales and southwest England may see the highest of the temperatures during this week, possibly coming in above average for these regions.

Monday 14 May—Sunday 27 May

A slow return towards average?

At present, the blocking anticyclone to the west of the UK doesn't look as though it will move anywhere too quickly during the second half of the month. With lower pressure to the northeast, this will maintain the idea that the north and east of the country will remain cooler and more unsettled with rainfall amounts higher than the May average. At the same time, the best of the drier and brighter weather is more likely to be found across southern and western parts of the British Isles, allowing temperatures here to be around where they should be at this time of year.

Next week

Will high pressure take more of a hold across the UK?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167
All my weather stats can now be found here

http://darlington-weather.webs.com/

Weather stats for 2012 can now be found on one easy to read page

#465 Stuart

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Posted 30 April 2012 - 11:24

just beating me to it



#466 Gavin D

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Posted 10 May 2012 - 13:22

Summary

Contrasting fortunes

Following a Bank Holiday weekend which did provide some parts of the country with at least a couple of brighter, albeit cool days, normal service will be resumed this week. Temperatures are set to return closer to average, but with that comes further spells of rain, especially for southern Britain.
The rest of May still looks set to be unsettled generally, with some areas continuing with the trend of above-average rainfall.

Monday 7 May—Sunday 13 May

A sign of something more settled... eventually?

Low pressure sweeping in from the southwest to start the week will open the doors for an unsettled few days. Spells of rain are expected across much of the country, especially on Thursday which looks particularly wet and windy across Wales and England. Temperatures by day should return a little closer to average, except in any persistent rain. Night-time frosts may still be an isolated risk.

As that low pressure system clears away into Scandinavia on Friday however, a ridge of high pressure extending in from the Atlantic currently looks set to bring a more settled spell to most of the UK for the coming weekend. This should bring more in the way of sunshine, and help temperatures climb a little above average across southern parts. A cool air-mass means night frosts will still be a possibility, especially across the north. There is the risk that rain might cling on to southern areas of the UK to start the weekend.

Monday 14 May—Sunday 20 May

A slow return towards average?

As the ridge of high pressure nudges southwards, so the brighter weather will spread south and east, but at the same time cloudier and wetter conditions look set to move into the northwest to start the new week. This will take temperatures below normal in the north, but they will remain around or above normal in the south.
During the early part of the week, the weather becomes predominately more westerly, with periods of cloud and rain interspersed with drier and clearer spells, which could continue to allow some frosts overnight. The latter part of the week and weekend sees an increasing chance of more settled weather, with temperatures around normal.

Monday 21 May—Sunday 3 June

Flaming June?

Overall there are no strong signals favouring any particular weather type as we head into June. Total rainfall amounts are likely to be at least around average in many areas, with perhaps some northwestern areas seeing above average rainfall. The indications currently point towards temperatures being below average rather than above, however the balance of evidence does hint that if we do get a spell of relatively warm, dry weather, this is a little more likely to come at the start of June.

Next week

With the start of climatological summer, will the weather turn summery too?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167
All my weather stats can now be found here

http://darlington-weather.webs.com/

Weather stats for 2012 can now be found on one easy to read page

#467 Stuart

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Posted 14 May 2012 - 10:13

Monday 14 May Published at 10:00
Monthly Outlook

Summary


Barbecues stay in the shed

Last week spring warmth made a brief reappearance in eastern England with 21C reached for the first time since March, but this was only a fleeting taste of what we are missing. Since then it's cooled down again and there is precious little hope for warm weather lovers in the near future.

Monday 14 May—Sunday 20 May

Disappointingly cool with rain at times

After a wet and windy start to the week followed by some heavy showers on Tuesday, high pressure builds across England and Wales on Wednesday settling things down until the weekend.
In contrast on Thursday and Friday in Scotland and Northern Ireland another Atlantic frontal system brings further cloud and rain.
By the weekend we are looking to the south as a developing area of low pressure in the Bay of Biscay threatens to bring rain and showers northwards across England and Wales.
Temperatures return to near normal by the end of the week, but the nights remain chilly and growers should remain alert to the danger of frost in the drier, clearer areas.

Monday 21 May—Sunday 27 May

Slightly warmer for some but still unsettled

The weather will remain changeable as May draws to a close and although temperatures are expected to remain close to average there is a signal for some warmer conditions in the far northwest and far southeast. Despite this, growers can still expect some overnight ground frosts in places.
The indications are that the bulk of the wet weather this week will be in England and Wales with drier than usual conditions in the north of the United Kingdom.


Monday 28 May—Sunday 10 June

Flaming June starts without the flames

There is no strong signal favouring any particular type of weather as the new month and meteorological summer begins and no indication of the arrival of summer heat.
We should expect the weather to remain unsettled in most places, although of course that doesn't mean it will be raining all the time as there will also be some drier and sunnier periods too.
Average temperatures are most likely although some spots in the south may be slightly below normal where it may also be a little wetter than normal.


Next week

As June continues will the weather dampen the progress of the Olympic torch or perk up for Royal Ascot and Wimbledon?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167






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