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A Winter's Tale Winter Blog Part 3 (february)
Posted by A Scottish Winter's Tale,
01 February 2012
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SNOW DIARY:
Thursday 1st December - Brief wet snow in early hours from heavy burst in Front - No lying Snow
Saturday 3rd December - Wet snowflakes in heavy showers from the West - No lying snow
Sunday 4th December - Snow from showers from the west - Lying snow of 2cm later on
Monday 5th December - Heavy snow from showers from the west - Lying snow of 6cm
Tuesday 6th December - Snow showers from NW in the early hours - Lying snow of 3-5cm
Wednesday 7th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 1-2cm
Thursday 8th December - Some wet snow - No Lying Snow
Friday 9th December - Some snow showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Saturday 10th December - Snow showers from west in the morning - Lying snow of a dusting
Tuesday 13th December - Some snow showers from the west - No lying snow
Friday 16th December - Heavy snow band from SW in early hours - Lying snow 2-3cm
Saturday 17th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 2-3cm
Sunday 18th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 2-3cm
Monday 19th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 2-3cm
Tuesday 20th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of less than 1cm
Wednesday 28th December - Wet Snowflakes late in the day - No Lying Snow
Thursday 29th December - Snow Showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Monday 2nd January - Some wet snow from showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Tuesday 3rd January - Some snow from Showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Thursday 19th January - Some snow from Showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Tuesday 24th January - Some wet snow from front from the west - No Lying Snow
Wednesday 25th January - Some wet snow from front from the west - No Lying Snow
Thursday 26th January - Snow showers from the west - Lying snow of a dusting
Friday 27th January - No Snowfall - Lying snow of a dusting
Tuesday 31st January - Light snow showers from the east - No Lying Snow
Friday 3rd February - Light snow flurry from the east - No Lying Snow
Saturday 18th February - Snow showers from the NW - Lying snow of a dusting
AWT's Essential Links for the Winter:
http://forum.netweat...r-discussion-2/ - Best Place for me
http://www.metoffice...k/observations/ - Very useful for checking temperatures and current/recent weather. Great during low temps/snow
http://trafficscotland.org/lev/# - Very useful for finding out whether it's snowing and how deep/heavy in locations around Scotland.
http://www.metoffice...ather/uk/radar/ - A radar to find out where snow is and heading to aswell as how heavy and prolonged!
http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ - Another brilliant radar - better than the Met office!
http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html - Good fro details about winter/severe weather in my local area
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2655582 - BBC Weather website and my nearest location!
http://forum.netweat...del-discussion/ - At times desperate but the best place for weather for near future!
http://www.sat24.com/en/gb - Nice satellite link
http://www.weatheron...V=0&WMO== Good for weather data
http://www.scottishweather.net/
http://www.hebwx.co.uk/wxlightning.php
http://maps.google.c...58271,19.753418 - Scotland Regional Thread Map!
KiltedWeather (1).html - All the essential links!
18:00
Well this winter has been pretty decent for snow - both falling and lying - and we are now into our longest cold snap of the winter. Come the end of this month, I'll do a review of the winter and compare it to other years. It looks like this winter will be one of the snowiest that I've ever experienced and with an extra month left. So a review on the winter, it's best events and comparing it to other years. Also, with potential winter weather in Spring I'll do some more updates if needed. Now, as this winter has been good, it's just a case of how good it will get. Everyone's expectations for February was high and it's just a case of whether it will pull it off. Today has been cold and sunny, and the models are showing that anything could happen into February but the potential for a decent cold spell remains. All to play for!
23:30
The cold snap continued today as Glasgow Airport received its coldest temperature since January 2011! -7C was recorded at the airport and -5C was recorded right across the country last night! Therefore, there was a pretty hard frost! Today was very nice despite the cold with lovely winter sunshine - infact, at times it looked deceivingly warm. Last night there was also a bit of a snow event for The Wash. Now, tomorrow could be the last day of this cold spell, and I'm on the hunt for big freezes and big snow events. In the short term, this weekend is set to be a snowy one for England. If things move further west, we could be in for the biggest snowfall of the winter but sadly I think that's not to be! So the hunt for the first snowfall of February 2012 continues! Beyond this very uncertain to what the the Scandi Hi will do - which has brought extreme winter conditions to Europe for the 3rd winter running! So anything could happen and that possibility of a Greenland high is there. The next week or two of model watching will paint a clearer picture - hopefully the models soon show a Greenland high!
23:30
Another very cold night with -11C in places. Cold today and perhaps the last day of the cold snap. Some lovely winter sunshine too! Now tomorrow what we see is a front meeting cold air and the met office have issued an amber warning for snow for much of England. Model-wise the end of February could be interesting if there is northern blocking.
23:30
The cold spell just about ended here as the front brought rain to much of Scotland. However in England and Wales, the most significant snow event of the winter occured with 10cm quite widely and lots of distruption. So it seems that England and Wales have joined W Scotland for a decent winter event this year but NI and E Scotland have suffered badly. Now, the SE are likely to stay onto the cold air and the Scandi Hi is still around so a cool theme is likely. Beyond this - there are encouraging signs of a Greenie High that would see me jumping off the walls.
23:30
I believe that the cold spell may have ended today but perhaps we are about to enter a cool period next week. Right now much of S and E England is blanketed by snow. Now, the models have been quite poor with the Greenland High taking a step back which has felt a bit frustrating but we need to see how it pans out - not been a bad winter so whatever happens won't make the winter any worse except the fact that it's been a long time since the last decent snowfall but we've got till at least April for this to change. Cold outside right now.
20:00
Been on a bit of an emotional roller coster today - here's my post from earlier and the bits in bold are the sensible things - everything else is probably just a bit of immotive energy released by a sudden surge of frustration - lol!:
I've got to say that February is looking like a big fail! Everyone said that the winter would start rubbish and get better, well in actual fact it started off fantasticly and got worse as it progressed. But, it's been a decent winter - not a harsh one - but more than satisfactory with another brilliant December on the snow front - some interesting spells of weather in January and some snow falls but disapointing in the sense of proper lying snow - some cold towards the end was nice, February - decent for cold and sunshine but looks set to be an almost snowless month.
For the third year running, December is the best month for winter weather and February is the poorest. On the otherhand, the models may change and it's only the 6th of February and whatever happens this month won't dent the fact that this winter has been decent but I'd rather see a balance in winter weather. One decent snowfall with proper lying snow in January would have made for a fantastic month considering the storms and the great frosty spells - and another in February would be nice but having almost two months since the last decent snowfall is very disapointing for winter. Now if winter fails, then hopefully that Azores High and PV will disapear for March resulting in greater chances for great snowfalls and winter weather aswell as the other things that Spring brings.
But in this moment in time, despite the fact that this winter has been succesful in having more than one decent cold/snow spells (sometimes akin to the last few winters) in my favourite time for snowy weather, the disapointing thing is the Big Failure of a February as it looks set to be the poorest month of the winter compared to the fantastic start. All this talk about wait for February, patience, backgroung signals has been a real let down - but thank god that December was good and it's success has made winter a little bit more than acceptable and there is a Spring next which will have more oppurtunities for winter weather aswell as Spring stuff.
Hope I'm wrong about February being a let down.
Yeah the bold bits are sensible, the others is just a bit rational. Can't deny that this winter has been good with a fantastic December and interesting weather in the new year and some nice wintry weather. It would have been nice to have had a decent lying snow event in January and I would love the same for February but you can't change the fact that a great December has already made this winter good and better than quite a few in my life and even January wasn't bad in terms of falling snow at all as the Glasgow Airport records suggest that it doesn't even make the top 20 least snowy months since 1999 and with January and December combined it's actually been one of the snowiest and the all important lying snow has been a great success (despite January potentially could have been better) and the great frosty second half to January and cool weather in December and storms all making for a good winter - similar to some of those when I was younger and not too disimial from 08/09 (just lacking one more notable snow event). The thing that has frustrated me a tiny bit is that January didn't see a great snow event but it was decent enough for having days of falling snow and cold weather with frost. But that's just a small disapointment and the cold end to month just adds to the great success of December that guaranteed that this winter would be another decent one - it's just a case of adding to it. And in having a decent winter status in the bag, I look for a 4th consecutive winter with a big freeze and the models have dropped the idea of a Greenie High but the background signals remain good and it's evident that the models don't have a clue so it's all to play for in terms of Big Freeze - even into March. And if my greedyness of wanting a big freeze doesn't materialize then Spring has great potential for fantastic, wondrous snowfalls (my largest snowfall ever happened in March) aswell as other great weather types in Spring so there remains a lot be optimistic about considering how happy I should be about winter, the potential February and March has - and it's the weather anyway - I should just enjoy it.
And it was great winter's day today - very cold all day and foggy.
17:45
Very cold and sunny today - maybe -15C in some parts later!
I think the met office are being a tad conservative in a volitile situation. The changes we've seen in the models in the past two weeks have been stark. We had cross model agreement for a beasterly, then for the atlantic to win, then for the PV to come back and now that Scandi Hi is still fighting longer than predicted and that Greenland High trend comes and goes. We're still so early in February that anything could happen and things will change as we go along - particulary in such an unclear scenario like this where the models have lost the plot at times. But, first and foremost, there is a trend for Greenland High, there are background signals for it too, it's cold outside right now and there is still the possibility to add for a decent winter for me personally and for others to at least get a decent snowfall with the chances of a Greenland High.
Game On - me thinks!
*What a contrast to yesterday's post!
23:30
Last day of the cold spell as freezing rain and ice become an issue. England may get ANOTHER frontal snowfall tomorrow. Quite cold and cloudy at times today. The very cold start to February in the south continues. The models are good for there to be high pressure in the Atlantic with a northerly next week that could bring is snow. It all depends whether it becomes a Greenie High and we get a severe cold spell or it just topples.
19:00
Cold in the SE with another snow event - aaghhh! Quite cold and foggy here today and perhaps the very last day of the long-lasting cold spell. It's all eyes north to see whether we get a northerly or even a prolonged Greenie High. Today's models have looked good and bad at times - still, a whole load of things could happen so we still wait and watch.
23:30
Not looking too great for a Greeni High now and all eyes are for topplers but we've got all the way to April for us to get at least a decent snowfall on the same levels as the ones in December. Cold spell ends here after England enjoyed more snow and the temperatures there are very low right now!
23:30
Very cloudy here today as England is still freezing and Europe is in the grips of an extreme cold spell. Oh well, despite us missing out the potential and the cold snap was there to have 4th consecutive winter with a big freeze. However we may get snow out of a northerly. But not a bad winter, as we continue our good run in form. Ill update tomorrow.
23:30
A nice evening with a lovely dusk, clear skies and stars and an amazing large, orange/yellow moon on the horizon. A frost aswell tonight. Models showing potentially a lovely snow event to round off a decent winter - if this event happens I'll be very happy! Perhaps, we can't rule out an easterly yet.
22:30
Milder today despite the NWly flow with cloud. I do wonder if we'll get that final below average winter! Anyhow, it's good that the models are still going for a decent snow event from a northerly next weekend. Hopefully we'll see an easterly and more cold and snow as we leave February and enter March.
23:30
Not an eventful day here. The models are still showing a cold spell and snowfall for the end of the week which is good. Winter has been okay but it would be great to get another good snowfall. After that is part of the unknown but I'm interested to see what Spring has ib store for us.
23:30
Now, quite a nice evening and sunny with starry night sky - lovely for winter/autumn. It seems that snowfall is going to happen, hopefully the second half will be cold enough for us to get a below average winter. At the moment, it's best to enjoy the snow and see what happens, review winter and see what Spring will be like.
19:00
I am going to do summary about the snow, my winter forecast, other forecasts, reviews and stuff soon. So far this winter has been decent for cold - late January and February and snow -December. It now seems that I am going to get another good snow event which will make the winter a bit better, even if we see a lack of snowfall. Beyond that is uncertain. Today was very sunny and lovely - quite Spring like. So, in the coming days I'm going to do a build up to the last major snowfall of the winter, and come the end of the winter I'm going to:
Review the winter, comparing it to past, facts and stats and key dates; review my winter forecast; review other forecasts; look forward to Spring and the rest of the year; discuss about next winter.
So a good winter so far and very interesting one. Good snowfall events so the winter is similar to 08/09 and there may be another event left. And into Spring, I'll be looking for more wintry treats aswell as other Spring delights. An interesting year is coming up and it will be interesting to compare it to last year, to see how it stands againts previous years and what will be the key events. After my first winter forecast was innacurate, this winter has proved again that 06/07 is in the past and hopefully next winter will be a repeat of 10/11 or 09/10. So after this winter is over, I'm going to run a blog about the year's weather and other factors, reviews , forecasts and stuff and would hope to gather a catalogue of information regarding models, stratoshphere and for Autumn, to combine all of these and produce a better winter forecast.
Anyway, we're still in winter, got another decent snowfall to finish off a decent but interesting winter, we've got an interesting year of weather left and as we go through the year, when I've got time, I'll be looking at the story of the weather of 2012 unfolding and hopefully it will be good and hopefully it will lead to an accurate forecast and hopefully an amazing winter. Spring forecast coming up soon. Bye for now.
23:30
Today was wet and miserable at times. Unfortuantly, it seems that the snow event tomorrow from the NNWly may be our last for quite a while as the models are showing the atlantic being in full business. It can't be for much longer though! Anyone I hope that tomorrow will be good.
23:30
Looking very warm at next week! Spring has come early this year. I do wonder what the Azores Hi will do as we don't want to have messed up weather. Nonetheless, Winter 2011/2012 wasn't a fail, it did deliver but it's promised specatucular cold spell and snowfall failed to deliver big time which was disapointing. However, the winter wasn't bad at all, I've enjoyed parts of it and it has been interesting! And Spring of course very much has a wintry side to it!
23:30
The countdown to Spring continues. It's now very light and the some of the Spring plants are starting to come through. Late February this year marks the start to Spring whereas Early - Mid December could mark the end of Autumn and Mid March could mark the end of winter. It varies but essentially the coldest, darkest times are between November and April and the core of it is between December and March.
23:30
Doesn't look any potential for snow on the horizon at all, which is disapointing because February has failed in terms of snow here and has been notably disapointing and not having snow in March isn't a problem but as our winter up here usually lasts longer and the potential for cold and snow is there and I've seen it in quite a few March's of the past, it would be disapointing to miss out on that too! But April can deliver, this all about keeping the wintry theme going as you'd expect aswell as other typical Spring-like conditions playing their role. However, despite this winter doing enough and done it's bit here in Glasgow, in eastern Scotland where the past few winters have been fantastic there whereas this winter has arguably been the worst.
22:00
The models are still disapointing for a cold and snowy outlook as snow is very much an aspect to Spring, but on the otherhand the other aspects of a new season of weather in the UK is coming up - hopefully interesting with some heat. I would love to see a great warm spell again in April and mostly in May aswell as snow events in March and April too and with sunny, varied, lovely and interesting weather and hopefully a good summer, a good autumn and a good winter. Whatever happens, it'll be interesting to see how it plays out.
23:30
It looks set to be a very mild end to winter. If the Snow in December and cold earlier this month had never happened, this would add more salt to the wounds but in reality it will be quite interesting to see how it evolves. It does seem very likely that any snow to finish the winter is unlikely but my Snow Diary will continue into Spring.
23:30
It's definetly starting to feel more Spring Like as milder weather will be around for the majority of the country to finish off winter. However there may still be a possibility for driech weather conditions with the milder conditions so any worthwhile, Spring-Like Sunny conditions may only come at a premium.
23:30
Gosh, Isn't this a quiet period of weather? A complete contrast (particulary in the South East of England) as the first was incredibly cold and quite snowy in places and now it's really mild. I now wouldn't be surprised what was destined to be a cold month may have an equally as mild CET as the previous few.
23:30
It's getting closer to Spring, but remember in My Scotland Central Blog, I will do updates of any potential decent snow events/cold spells and my Snow Diary will also continue until the last snowfall. Also, I've done part of my Winter review in that Scotland Weather Central Blog, So I'll post a link to that Review. Also, I'll continue to review the seasons.
23:30
It seems that in two days time, we could see some record breaking mild conditions. I do wonder how warm it will get. Remember to check my Review of the Winter, my Snow Diary, My Season Forecasts and Blogs, My Weather Event Summaries in Scotland Weather Central Blog.
23:30
Incredibly mild in Aboyne right now with temps up to 15C which would be 5C colder than the hottest ever night-time temperature in Scotland. There is the potential for Scotland's record warm February temperature to be broken in Aberdeenshire tomorrow and possibly the UK record.
23:30
A Very mild day in Aberdeenshire where the temperature was around 17C which is a sign that Spring is here. However, despite the very mild temperatures here in Glasgow, it is absoultely horriible with constant cloud cover with continuous drizzle. That's not what I want for Spring!
23:30
Hurrah! It's a lovely day to finish Spring with fantastic sunshine with lighter evenings, a Really lovely Spring Afternoon. And I'm afraid folks that this may well be last post in the Winter Blog although if we do get a snow event this Spring, expect some updates here in the Blog and for any cold spell/snow event to be included in my Spring Review Blog as it would be a key event in playing how this Spring will turn out so a lot to play for in terms of cold and interesting (hopefully good weather in general). When my Winter Blog is complete I'll hand a link but all I can say is that yet again this winter didn't disapoint with the fantastic snow in December and the notable cold spell in Late Jan/Feb, plus interesting weather inbetween. Keep an eye on the stuff going on in My "Best of Scotland, snowscotland and Scotland Weather Central Blogs". My Snow Diary will continue to the last event, expect some updates either in here or elsehwere about Spring snow events, and check my Scotland Weather Central Blog for interesting analysis, reviews and stuff about the weather in the UK during 2012 plus my own forecasts and come the time that my Winter Blog resumes during next Winter's First Snowfall, hopefully we have had an interesting year to enjoy and perhaps I could use the year's weather and other things to improve on my Winter Forecast later this year. Hopefully I'll see you soon with some Spring snowfall.
Thursday 1st December - Brief wet snow in early hours from heavy burst in Front - No lying Snow
Saturday 3rd December - Wet snowflakes in heavy showers from the West - No lying snow
Sunday 4th December - Snow from showers from the west - Lying snow of 2cm later on
Monday 5th December - Heavy snow from showers from the west - Lying snow of 6cm
Tuesday 6th December - Snow showers from NW in the early hours - Lying snow of 3-5cm
Wednesday 7th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 1-2cm
Thursday 8th December - Some wet snow - No Lying Snow
Friday 9th December - Some snow showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Saturday 10th December - Snow showers from west in the morning - Lying snow of a dusting
Tuesday 13th December - Some snow showers from the west - No lying snow
Friday 16th December - Heavy snow band from SW in early hours - Lying snow 2-3cm
Saturday 17th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 2-3cm
Sunday 18th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 2-3cm
Monday 19th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of 2-3cm
Tuesday 20th December - No Snowfall - Lying snow of less than 1cm
Wednesday 28th December - Wet Snowflakes late in the day - No Lying Snow
Thursday 29th December - Snow Showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Monday 2nd January - Some wet snow from showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Tuesday 3rd January - Some snow from Showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Thursday 19th January - Some snow from Showers from the west - No Lying Snow
Tuesday 24th January - Some wet snow from front from the west - No Lying Snow
Wednesday 25th January - Some wet snow from front from the west - No Lying Snow
Thursday 26th January - Snow showers from the west - Lying snow of a dusting
Friday 27th January - No Snowfall - Lying snow of a dusting
Tuesday 31st January - Light snow showers from the east - No Lying Snow
Friday 3rd February - Light snow flurry from the east - No Lying Snow
Saturday 18th February - Snow showers from the NW - Lying snow of a dusting
AWT's Essential Links for the Winter:
http://forum.netweat...r-discussion-2/ - Best Place for me
http://www.metoffice...k/observations/ - Very useful for checking temperatures and current/recent weather. Great during low temps/snow
http://trafficscotland.org/lev/# - Very useful for finding out whether it's snowing and how deep/heavy in locations around Scotland.
http://www.metoffice...ather/uk/radar/ - A radar to find out where snow is and heading to aswell as how heavy and prolonged!
http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ - Another brilliant radar - better than the Met office!
http://www.metoffice...t_warnings.html - Good fro details about winter/severe weather in my local area
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2655582 - BBC Weather website and my nearest location!
http://forum.netweat...del-discussion/ - At times desperate but the best place for weather for near future!
http://www.sat24.com/en/gb - Nice satellite link
http://www.weatheron...V=0&WMO== Good for weather data
http://www.scottishweather.net/
http://www.hebwx.co.uk/wxlightning.php
http://maps.google.c...58271,19.753418 - Scotland Regional Thread Map!
KiltedWeather (1).html - All the essential links!
1ST FEBRUARY 2012
18:00
Well this winter has been pretty decent for snow - both falling and lying - and we are now into our longest cold snap of the winter. Come the end of this month, I'll do a review of the winter and compare it to other years. It looks like this winter will be one of the snowiest that I've ever experienced and with an extra month left. So a review on the winter, it's best events and comparing it to other years. Also, with potential winter weather in Spring I'll do some more updates if needed. Now, as this winter has been good, it's just a case of how good it will get. Everyone's expectations for February was high and it's just a case of whether it will pull it off. Today has been cold and sunny, and the models are showing that anything could happen into February but the potential for a decent cold spell remains. All to play for!
2ND FEBRUARY
23:30
The cold snap continued today as Glasgow Airport received its coldest temperature since January 2011! -7C was recorded at the airport and -5C was recorded right across the country last night! Therefore, there was a pretty hard frost! Today was very nice despite the cold with lovely winter sunshine - infact, at times it looked deceivingly warm. Last night there was also a bit of a snow event for The Wash. Now, tomorrow could be the last day of this cold spell, and I'm on the hunt for big freezes and big snow events. In the short term, this weekend is set to be a snowy one for England. If things move further west, we could be in for the biggest snowfall of the winter but sadly I think that's not to be! So the hunt for the first snowfall of February 2012 continues! Beyond this very uncertain to what the the Scandi Hi will do - which has brought extreme winter conditions to Europe for the 3rd winter running! So anything could happen and that possibility of a Greenland high is there. The next week or two of model watching will paint a clearer picture - hopefully the models soon show a Greenland high!
3RD FEBRUARY
23:30
Another very cold night with -11C in places. Cold today and perhaps the last day of the cold snap. Some lovely winter sunshine too! Now tomorrow what we see is a front meeting cold air and the met office have issued an amber warning for snow for much of England. Model-wise the end of February could be interesting if there is northern blocking.
4TH FEBRUARY
23:30
The cold spell just about ended here as the front brought rain to much of Scotland. However in England and Wales, the most significant snow event of the winter occured with 10cm quite widely and lots of distruption. So it seems that England and Wales have joined W Scotland for a decent winter event this year but NI and E Scotland have suffered badly. Now, the SE are likely to stay onto the cold air and the Scandi Hi is still around so a cool theme is likely. Beyond this - there are encouraging signs of a Greenie High that would see me jumping off the walls.
5TH FEBRUARY
23:30
I believe that the cold spell may have ended today but perhaps we are about to enter a cool period next week. Right now much of S and E England is blanketed by snow. Now, the models have been quite poor with the Greenland High taking a step back which has felt a bit frustrating but we need to see how it pans out - not been a bad winter so whatever happens won't make the winter any worse except the fact that it's been a long time since the last decent snowfall but we've got till at least April for this to change. Cold outside right now.
6TH FEBRUARY
20:00
Been on a bit of an emotional roller coster today - here's my post from earlier and the bits in bold are the sensible things - everything else is probably just a bit of immotive energy released by a sudden surge of frustration - lol!:
I've got to say that February is looking like a big fail! Everyone said that the winter would start rubbish and get better, well in actual fact it started off fantasticly and got worse as it progressed. But, it's been a decent winter - not a harsh one - but more than satisfactory with another brilliant December on the snow front - some interesting spells of weather in January and some snow falls but disapointing in the sense of proper lying snow - some cold towards the end was nice, February - decent for cold and sunshine but looks set to be an almost snowless month.
For the third year running, December is the best month for winter weather and February is the poorest. On the otherhand, the models may change and it's only the 6th of February and whatever happens this month won't dent the fact that this winter has been decent but I'd rather see a balance in winter weather. One decent snowfall with proper lying snow in January would have made for a fantastic month considering the storms and the great frosty spells - and another in February would be nice but having almost two months since the last decent snowfall is very disapointing for winter. Now if winter fails, then hopefully that Azores High and PV will disapear for March resulting in greater chances for great snowfalls and winter weather aswell as the other things that Spring brings.
But in this moment in time, despite the fact that this winter has been succesful in having more than one decent cold/snow spells (sometimes akin to the last few winters) in my favourite time for snowy weather, the disapointing thing is the Big Failure of a February as it looks set to be the poorest month of the winter compared to the fantastic start. All this talk about wait for February, patience, backgroung signals has been a real let down - but thank god that December was good and it's success has made winter a little bit more than acceptable and there is a Spring next which will have more oppurtunities for winter weather aswell as Spring stuff.
Hope I'm wrong about February being a let down.
Yeah the bold bits are sensible, the others is just a bit rational. Can't deny that this winter has been good with a fantastic December and interesting weather in the new year and some nice wintry weather. It would have been nice to have had a decent lying snow event in January and I would love the same for February but you can't change the fact that a great December has already made this winter good and better than quite a few in my life and even January wasn't bad in terms of falling snow at all as the Glasgow Airport records suggest that it doesn't even make the top 20 least snowy months since 1999 and with January and December combined it's actually been one of the snowiest and the all important lying snow has been a great success (despite January potentially could have been better) and the great frosty second half to January and cool weather in December and storms all making for a good winter - similar to some of those when I was younger and not too disimial from 08/09 (just lacking one more notable snow event). The thing that has frustrated me a tiny bit is that January didn't see a great snow event but it was decent enough for having days of falling snow and cold weather with frost. But that's just a small disapointment and the cold end to month just adds to the great success of December that guaranteed that this winter would be another decent one - it's just a case of adding to it. And in having a decent winter status in the bag, I look for a 4th consecutive winter with a big freeze and the models have dropped the idea of a Greenie High but the background signals remain good and it's evident that the models don't have a clue so it's all to play for in terms of Big Freeze - even into March. And if my greedyness of wanting a big freeze doesn't materialize then Spring has great potential for fantastic, wondrous snowfalls (my largest snowfall ever happened in March) aswell as other great weather types in Spring so there remains a lot be optimistic about considering how happy I should be about winter, the potential February and March has - and it's the weather anyway - I should just enjoy it.
And it was great winter's day today - very cold all day and foggy.
7TH FEBRUARY
17:45
Very cold and sunny today - maybe -15C in some parts later!
I think the met office are being a tad conservative in a volitile situation. The changes we've seen in the models in the past two weeks have been stark. We had cross model agreement for a beasterly, then for the atlantic to win, then for the PV to come back and now that Scandi Hi is still fighting longer than predicted and that Greenland High trend comes and goes. We're still so early in February that anything could happen and things will change as we go along - particulary in such an unclear scenario like this where the models have lost the plot at times. But, first and foremost, there is a trend for Greenland High, there are background signals for it too, it's cold outside right now and there is still the possibility to add for a decent winter for me personally and for others to at least get a decent snowfall with the chances of a Greenland High.
Game On - me thinks!
*What a contrast to yesterday's post!
8TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Last day of the cold spell as freezing rain and ice become an issue. England may get ANOTHER frontal snowfall tomorrow. Quite cold and cloudy at times today. The very cold start to February in the south continues. The models are good for there to be high pressure in the Atlantic with a northerly next week that could bring is snow. It all depends whether it becomes a Greenie High and we get a severe cold spell or it just topples.
9TH FEBRUARY
19:00
Cold in the SE with another snow event - aaghhh! Quite cold and foggy here today and perhaps the very last day of the long-lasting cold spell. It's all eyes north to see whether we get a northerly or even a prolonged Greenie High. Today's models have looked good and bad at times - still, a whole load of things could happen so we still wait and watch.
10TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Not looking too great for a Greeni High now and all eyes are for topplers but we've got all the way to April for us to get at least a decent snowfall on the same levels as the ones in December. Cold spell ends here after England enjoyed more snow and the temperatures there are very low right now!
11TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Very cloudy here today as England is still freezing and Europe is in the grips of an extreme cold spell. Oh well, despite us missing out the potential and the cold snap was there to have 4th consecutive winter with a big freeze. However we may get snow out of a northerly. But not a bad winter, as we continue our good run in form. Ill update tomorrow.
12TH FEBRUARY
23:30
A nice evening with a lovely dusk, clear skies and stars and an amazing large, orange/yellow moon on the horizon. A frost aswell tonight. Models showing potentially a lovely snow event to round off a decent winter - if this event happens I'll be very happy! Perhaps, we can't rule out an easterly yet.
13TH FEBRUARY
22:30
Milder today despite the NWly flow with cloud. I do wonder if we'll get that final below average winter! Anyhow, it's good that the models are still going for a decent snow event from a northerly next weekend. Hopefully we'll see an easterly and more cold and snow as we leave February and enter March.
14TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Not an eventful day here. The models are still showing a cold spell and snowfall for the end of the week which is good. Winter has been okay but it would be great to get another good snowfall. After that is part of the unknown but I'm interested to see what Spring has ib store for us.
15TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Now, quite a nice evening and sunny with starry night sky - lovely for winter/autumn. It seems that snowfall is going to happen, hopefully the second half will be cold enough for us to get a below average winter. At the moment, it's best to enjoy the snow and see what happens, review winter and see what Spring will be like.
16TH FEBRUARY
19:00
I am going to do summary about the snow, my winter forecast, other forecasts, reviews and stuff soon. So far this winter has been decent for cold - late January and February and snow -December. It now seems that I am going to get another good snow event which will make the winter a bit better, even if we see a lack of snowfall. Beyond that is uncertain. Today was very sunny and lovely - quite Spring like. So, in the coming days I'm going to do a build up to the last major snowfall of the winter, and come the end of the winter I'm going to:
Review the winter, comparing it to past, facts and stats and key dates; review my winter forecast; review other forecasts; look forward to Spring and the rest of the year; discuss about next winter.
So a good winter so far and very interesting one. Good snowfall events so the winter is similar to 08/09 and there may be another event left. And into Spring, I'll be looking for more wintry treats aswell as other Spring delights. An interesting year is coming up and it will be interesting to compare it to last year, to see how it stands againts previous years and what will be the key events. After my first winter forecast was innacurate, this winter has proved again that 06/07 is in the past and hopefully next winter will be a repeat of 10/11 or 09/10. So after this winter is over, I'm going to run a blog about the year's weather and other factors, reviews , forecasts and stuff and would hope to gather a catalogue of information regarding models, stratoshphere and for Autumn, to combine all of these and produce a better winter forecast.
Anyway, we're still in winter, got another decent snowfall to finish off a decent but interesting winter, we've got an interesting year of weather left and as we go through the year, when I've got time, I'll be looking at the story of the weather of 2012 unfolding and hopefully it will be good and hopefully it will lead to an accurate forecast and hopefully an amazing winter. Spring forecast coming up soon. Bye for now.
17TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Today was wet and miserable at times. Unfortuantly, it seems that the snow event tomorrow from the NNWly may be our last for quite a while as the models are showing the atlantic being in full business. It can't be for much longer though! Anyone I hope that tomorrow will be good.
18TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Looking very warm at next week! Spring has come early this year. I do wonder what the Azores Hi will do as we don't want to have messed up weather. Nonetheless, Winter 2011/2012 wasn't a fail, it did deliver but it's promised specatucular cold spell and snowfall failed to deliver big time which was disapointing. However, the winter wasn't bad at all, I've enjoyed parts of it and it has been interesting! And Spring of course very much has a wintry side to it!
19TH FEBRUARY
23:30
The countdown to Spring continues. It's now very light and the some of the Spring plants are starting to come through. Late February this year marks the start to Spring whereas Early - Mid December could mark the end of Autumn and Mid March could mark the end of winter. It varies but essentially the coldest, darkest times are between November and April and the core of it is between December and March.
20TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Doesn't look any potential for snow on the horizon at all, which is disapointing because February has failed in terms of snow here and has been notably disapointing and not having snow in March isn't a problem but as our winter up here usually lasts longer and the potential for cold and snow is there and I've seen it in quite a few March's of the past, it would be disapointing to miss out on that too! But April can deliver, this all about keeping the wintry theme going as you'd expect aswell as other typical Spring-like conditions playing their role. However, despite this winter doing enough and done it's bit here in Glasgow, in eastern Scotland where the past few winters have been fantastic there whereas this winter has arguably been the worst.
21ST FEBRUARY
22:00
The models are still disapointing for a cold and snowy outlook as snow is very much an aspect to Spring, but on the otherhand the other aspects of a new season of weather in the UK is coming up - hopefully interesting with some heat. I would love to see a great warm spell again in April and mostly in May aswell as snow events in March and April too and with sunny, varied, lovely and interesting weather and hopefully a good summer, a good autumn and a good winter. Whatever happens, it'll be interesting to see how it plays out.
22ND FEBRUARY
23:30
It looks set to be a very mild end to winter. If the Snow in December and cold earlier this month had never happened, this would add more salt to the wounds but in reality it will be quite interesting to see how it evolves. It does seem very likely that any snow to finish the winter is unlikely but my Snow Diary will continue into Spring.
23RD FEBRUARY
23:30
It's definetly starting to feel more Spring Like as milder weather will be around for the majority of the country to finish off winter. However there may still be a possibility for driech weather conditions with the milder conditions so any worthwhile, Spring-Like Sunny conditions may only come at a premium.
24TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Gosh, Isn't this a quiet period of weather? A complete contrast (particulary in the South East of England) as the first was incredibly cold and quite snowy in places and now it's really mild. I now wouldn't be surprised what was destined to be a cold month may have an equally as mild CET as the previous few.
25TH FEBRUARY
23:30
It's getting closer to Spring, but remember in My Scotland Central Blog, I will do updates of any potential decent snow events/cold spells and my Snow Diary will also continue until the last snowfall. Also, I've done part of my Winter review in that Scotland Weather Central Blog, So I'll post a link to that Review. Also, I'll continue to review the seasons.
26TH FEBRUARY
23:30
It seems that in two days time, we could see some record breaking mild conditions. I do wonder how warm it will get. Remember to check my Review of the Winter, my Snow Diary, My Season Forecasts and Blogs, My Weather Event Summaries in Scotland Weather Central Blog.
27TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Incredibly mild in Aboyne right now with temps up to 15C which would be 5C colder than the hottest ever night-time temperature in Scotland. There is the potential for Scotland's record warm February temperature to be broken in Aberdeenshire tomorrow and possibly the UK record.
28TH FEBRUARY
23:30
A Very mild day in Aberdeenshire where the temperature was around 17C which is a sign that Spring is here. However, despite the very mild temperatures here in Glasgow, it is absoultely horriible with constant cloud cover with continuous drizzle. That's not what I want for Spring!
29TH FEBRUARY
23:30
Hurrah! It's a lovely day to finish Spring with fantastic sunshine with lighter evenings, a Really lovely Spring Afternoon. And I'm afraid folks that this may well be last post in the Winter Blog although if we do get a snow event this Spring, expect some updates here in the Blog and for any cold spell/snow event to be included in my Spring Review Blog as it would be a key event in playing how this Spring will turn out so a lot to play for in terms of cold and interesting (hopefully good weather in general). When my Winter Blog is complete I'll hand a link but all I can say is that yet again this winter didn't disapoint with the fantastic snow in December and the notable cold spell in Late Jan/Feb, plus interesting weather inbetween. Keep an eye on the stuff going on in My "Best of Scotland, snowscotland and Scotland Weather Central Blogs". My Snow Diary will continue to the last event, expect some updates either in here or elsehwere about Spring snow events, and check my Scotland Weather Central Blog for interesting analysis, reviews and stuff about the weather in the UK during 2012 plus my own forecasts and come the time that my Winter Blog resumes during next Winter's First Snowfall, hopefully we have had an interesting year to enjoy and perhaps I could use the year's weather and other things to improve on my Winter Forecast later this year. Hopefully I'll see you soon with some Spring snowfall.
